Monday, 6 July 2026

My Tryst with Technology A Journey from Mainframes to AI - Part One - Prof Archie D'Souza

 

My Tryst with Technology

A Journey from Mainframes to AI – Part One

©Archie D’Souza

Three years ago, when my book Simplifying Blockchain Complexities was released, I knew that AI, ML & IoT would play a big role in supply chains. I knew it when I started researching for the book. It has indeed done so, and hence I felt the need for a second edition. This will be released soon. However, as I began my research, I came to the conclusion this book, while needing a second edition, a separate book on the applications of AI in tandem with blockchains in projects and supply chains was also the need of the day. Hence, this book.

The applications of Blockchain Technology outside cryptocurrency trading was in its infancy. No logistics player was keen on even looking at its use in supply chains. And, almost nobody looked at it beyond its application as a distributed ledger used to record Bitcoin transactions. But, we realised, and there were others also discovering that the technology has applications beyond cryptocurrencies. Since the release of the first edition, there have been several developments and disruptions in the fields of Supply Chain and Project Management. AI, ML and IoT are taking over at an unimaginable pace. The disruptions brought about by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the US/Israeli strikes on Arab territories have caused most countries to rethink their supply chain. These disruptions will need tweaking in the way payments are made and new laws will need to be enacted to reflect the new realities.   

I am today recognised as a Supply Chain & Project Management Expert, an educator, an International Logistics Strategist and a Private International Law Specialist. I’ve been serving global trade since 1978. My first corporate assignment was with the cargo division of Air India in Bombay, as the city of my birth was then known. But my professional journey as a logistician started even before that. Since my parents could afford to pay for my college education, I had to work and study. The first job I took up was during the SSC exams at our school. I served water to the candidates, being paid five rupees fifty paise per day. A year later, I passed my SSCE, and we had a three-month gap between the last day of exams and the college's first term. I filled air in a petrol pump and earned enough to pay through my first year of college. Later, in my first year of college, I joined a company whose office was very close to college. This was my introduction to logistics. I’ll come to that later.

 

 

Transportation has fascinated me from a very young age. Since I can remember, anything that moved appealed to me – scooters, bikes, cars, trucks, busses, trains and planes. I was also fascinated with anything electronic like, music systems, TVs, the Walkman and computers. When I was in college, we were still in the mainframe era. The top two companies of that era were IBM and Burroughs. Let’s look at these eras before we come to the AI era.

1.     The Mainframe Era (1950s–1970s) - the Age of Centralized Computing

The fifties, sixties, and seventies together saw the era of mainframes. Banks, insurance companies, airlines, universities, school examination boards, and public utilities all saw computerised statements and prints. By today’s standards, these looked crude and were noisy. However, they were a great step forward from manual operations. The computer systems needed a great deal of floor space. If one looked at companies like Air India, the Shipping Corporation of India, LIC, State Bank of India, and others, which occupied the newly built skyscrapers of Nariman Point, their systems occupied full floors of buildings, each floor being thousands of square feet in area. The memory that these systems had was less than the memory in the laptop on which I’m feeding this text.

But the computer had started, and before long, we saw the introduction of user-friendly personal computers. But there was something in-between.

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Defining Characteristics

  • Massive centralized computers
  • Batch processing using punch cards
  • Computing accessible only to governments, banks, universities, and large corporations
  • Users submitted jobs and waited hours—or days—for output

Important Milestones

  • 1951: IBM introduces early commercial computers
  • 1964: IBM System/360 revolutionizes enterprise computing
  • COBOL and FORTRAN become dominant programming languages

Human Experience

This was the era when computing was mysterious, expensive, and elite.
Engineers and operators were custodians of a rare resource.

My Personal Experience

  • First exposure to data centres and training institutions like NIIT and Datamatics
  • Punch cards or terminal systems
  • The culture of discipline and precision around computing
  • The need for huge floor spaces with temperature control.

Then came the era of the mini-computers


2.     The Minicomputer Revolution (1970s) – Computing Moves Closer to Businesses

The introduction of the minicomputer was a foregone thing as mainframes required specialized rooms and technicians for operation. The user was thus separated from the computer. The mini changed that. It was designed for direct, personal interaction with the programmer. Mainframes operated in isolation; minis could communicate with other systems in real time. In contrast with much larger mainframe memories needed for scientific calculations and business records, the first minis stored only 4,096 words of 12- or 16-bit. Unlike larger computers featuring expensive input/output devices, early minis used only a Teletype or a Flexowriter and a paper-tape punch/reader. Minis were designed for process control, data transmission, and switching. Mainframes, on the other hand, emphasized data storage, processing, and calculating. Minicomputers that did the most to define the new class of computers were sold to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) that incorporated minis into larger control systems, often for industrial processes.

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Defining Characteristics of Minis

  • Smaller and more affordable than mainframes
  • Department-level computing emerges
  • Interactive terminals become common

Important Milestones

  • Digital Equipment Corporation popularized minicomputers
  • UNIX operating system gains traction
  • Time-sharing systems emerge

Industry Impact

Computing starts becoming operational rather than purely administrative.

What followed

  • Transition from centralized control to departmental access
  • Early systems programming or enterprise applications

The next episode will be on the commencement of my corporate journey and my first tryst with mainframe computers. Do watch this space.


Wednesday, 16 July 2025

Who Owns the Seas & Oceans? @Prof Archie D’Souza

 Who Owns the Seas & Oceans?

@Prof Archie D’Souza

 

Who Owns the Oceans? | Geography Realm

[This article is an excerpt from the chapter]

On June 23, 2025, the Government of Iran announced the closure of the Straits of Hormuz. This is a stretch through which about a third of the globe’s seaborne crude oil passes. The strait, which narrows to only about 32 km between Iran and the Arabian Peninsula, includes a great deal of India’s own oil imports. Do read the following reports:

https://www.deccanchronicle.com/nation/world/india-prepared-to-deal-with-closure-of-strait-of-hormuz-union-minister-hardeep-puri-1886935

https://www.msn.com/en-in/money/economy/difficult-to-predict-what-hardeep-singh-puri-said-on-oil-prices-supply-amid-hormuz-strait-closure-tensions/ar-AA1HdpCu?ocid=BingNewsSerp

https://www.news18.com/world/strait-of-hormuz-iran-israel-tension-conflict-self-destructive-global-recession-big-blow-global-impact-ws-l-9398548.html

https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/other/india-vs-the-oil-choke-point-how-we-re-dodging-the-strait-of-hormuz-fallout-amid-the-israel-iran-war/ar-AA1HcqGd?ocid=socialshare

We will not be discussing the economic impact of the Strait closure here. That has been discussed at several fora and has been covered in the media reports shared here as well. We will be confining our discussion to the legalities of the decision and the kind of precedent it could bring. We will also, if space permits, be looking at other similar international routes, including the Suez and Panama canals, along with other straits in international waters.

 

May be an image of map and text that says "Strait of Hormuz ISRAEL IRAN SAUDI ARABIA OMAN -/ IRAN The strait is 33km at its narrowest, yet 20% of the world's daily consumption of oil flows through it. Persian Gulf IRAN Strait of Hormuz OMANI OMAN Disputed UAE Gulf Gulfof of Oman UNITED ARAB EMIRATES LEGEND Shipping lanes Maritime borders OMAN Map: Clara Ho cna"

This report from Marine Insights gives a great perspective on the subject:
https://www.marineinsight.com/maritime-law/understanding-international-waters-boundaries-jurisdiction-and-legal-implications/

Also:

https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2021/02/03/how-are-maritime-boundaries-determined

Another map:


Read the following:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/6/23/can-iran-really-shut-down-the-strait-of-hormuz 

So, what does international law state when two or more countries have a narrow strait between them? How is the international boundary decided then? Here is a depiction of the India-Sri Lanka international border:

Map showing the maritime boundary between India and Sri Lanka

Unlike on land, water boundaries cannot be marked. The above map gives an idea of how the boundaries are determined. While the traffic on the Palk Strait is negligible, one cannot say the same about the straits of Hormuz and others. The South China Sea is another example of disputed water territories. Here an estimated US$3.36 trillion worth of global trade passes through, which accounts for a third of the global maritime trade.

The rest of the chapter will deal with various treaties and conventions regarding admiralty law and how borders in seas and oceans are determined. 

Saturday, 12 July 2025

Profiteering from Pollution ~ a review of the central government’s policy paper on carbon credits

 Profiteering from Pollution ~ a review of the central government’s policy paper on carbon credits

India’s Carbon Market Is Here

A Turning Point for Industry & Climate Policy

Real. Mandatory. Monetizable.

Prof Archie D’Souza

https://acrobat.adobe.com/id/urn:aaid:sc:AP:6eca22a1-0056-498a-a6c0-71cd03738f6d

Are you a polluter, and do you wish to continue polluting? The title of this policy paper tells you that not only can you continue being a polluter, you can buy your way to continue polluting. This is exactly how carbon credits work. Here is a policy document that does not even pretend to stop pollution, it tells you how to profit from it.

Let’s look at some of the highlights of the policy:

·        Supports India’s ambitious Net Zero 2070 goals, aligning industrial activity with national climate commitments.

·        Helps Indian exports avoid the impending EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), maintaining global market access.

·        Incentivizes adoption of clean technology and robust ESG reporting, enhancing corporate reputation and investor appeal.

·        Creates new demand for specialized services, fostering growth in Sustainability Consultants, MRV Experts, and Climate Startups.

·        Fundamentally redefines value: making pollution expensive and sustainability profitable.

[Emphasis is in the original document]

So, where do we go from here? The policy says that the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) significantly impacts 286 companies, with specific 3-year targets notified for each. These sectors include:

·        Iron & Steel

·        Cement

·        Textile

·        Petrochemicals

·        Aluminium

·        Fertilizer

·        Paper

Here according to the paper is how it works:

Step 1: The Government Sets Targets

The government establishes sector-wise Greenhouse Gas Emission Intensity (GEI) targets (tCO¢e/unit of production) for covered industries.

Step 2: Emission Performance

Industries emitting less than their GEI target earn tradable carbon credits. Those emitting more must buy credits or face penalties.

Step 3: Market Trading

Carbon credits are traded on the India Carbon Market (ICM) Portal, facilitating compliance and creating a dynamic market. รค BizTech Advisors can help navigate every step of this process, ensuring seamless compliance

So easy for the polluter. So it says one can work on Empowering Indian Businesses for a Green Future. This is the title of a section which claims that you can be helped to get your company climate-ready and turn compliance into a competitive advantage. Wow! And, it’s done beautifully using the following:

GEI Baseline Audit & Calculation

Accurate assessment of your current greenhouse gas emission intensity.

ICM Registration & Documentation

Streamlined process for registration and managing all necessary paperwork.

Carbon Credit Banking Strategy

Optimizing your credit portfolio for maximum value and future compliance.

Compliance Monitoring & Reporting

Continuous oversight to ensure adherence to regulations and timely submissions.

ESG + CDP + BRSR Integration

Holistic integration of carbon compliance with broader sustainability reporting frameworks.

We had looked at the initial steps.

Let’s look at the next set of steps. This is how you go about it:

Proactive Engagement for a Sustainable Future

1. Assess Your Position

Are you currently above or below your mandatory GEI target? Understanding

your baseline is crucial for strategic planning.

2. Evaluate Future Risks

Have you assessed your emission risk for FY 2026-27 and beyond? Proactive risk assessment can prevent costly penalties.

3. Develop Your Strategy

Have you built a clear plan for earning credits or managing offsets? A robust strategy is key to monetizing sustainability efforts.

Conclusion

To conclude, I ask a question ~ will the monetization of carbon credits lead to a reduction in pollution? I leave the reader to answer the question.